A Causal Relationship Between Selective Economic Growth Determinants In Pakistan (A Causality Analysis)
Abstract
This research paper aims to explore the causal relationship between economic growth determinants in Pakistan during the study period from 1990-2021. For this purpose, log linear regression model was analyzed. For analysis purpose descriptive statistics analysis, correlation analysis, and Pair-wise Granger Causality test has been utilized. Pair-wise Granger Causality test of economic growth model indicates that one-way causality exists between GDP and foreign remittance; GDP and imports; FDI inflows and inflation; FDI inflows and exports; foreign remittance and exports; foreign remittance and imports; exports and imports; exports and labour force participation rate; interest rate and exports; labour force participation rate and imports; interest rate and imports; and labour force participation rate and interest rate. While bidirectional causality exists between labour force participation rate and GDP.
Keywords: FDI Inflows, Economic Growth, Correlation, Pair-wise Granger Causality, and Pakistan.